CFA® Equity Valuation
Equity investments, that is, stocks, are probably the most familiar asset to investors worldwide. Whether public or private, equity capitalizes every business endeavor and is ubiquitous in investor portfolios. The nature and valuation of equity, along with equity markets, investments, and investors, are explored in this CFA topic area. As it progresses toward L3, equity valuation principles, models, and techniques become more of the focus of the curriculum. At each successive Program level, models and applications are explored in more depth and detail. In the L3 curriculum, the focus is more on equities’ role in portfolio management.
What to Expect in CFA Level 1 Equity Investments?
This section delves into the critical insights and methodologies employed in formulating investment recommendations and decisions. It centers on the principles of fundamental analysis, a cornerstone in determining investment choices. The course provides an in-depth exploration of techniques used to estimate a company’s intrinsic value. Additionally, it offers insights into the workings of an effective financial system, addressing topics like market efficiency and diverse strategies for appraising both public and private equity.
The Equity Investments (EI) module represents a significant Level 1 CFA examination component. Mastery of this topic is pivotal for excelling in the initial stage and crucial for overall success in the CFA Program.
Exam Weighting
The CFA Institute’s Level I Equity Investments topic has an exam weight of 11-14% of the total exam content, so approximately 20-25 of the 180 CFA Level 1 exam questions focus on this topic.
Topic Weight | No. of Learning Modules |
No. of Formulas |
No. of Questions |
---|---|---|---|
11-14% | 8 | Nearly 15 | 20-25 |
Level 1 Equity Investments Syllabus, Readings and Changes
The CFA Level 1 Equity syllabus encompasses eight learning modules with a total of 66 LOS. Noteworthy changes for 2024 include the expansion of Company Analysis into two distinct modules and the enhancement of Industry Analysis to incorporate Competitive Analysis.
No. of Learning Modules: 8 | No. of LOS: 66 | |
---|---|---|
Summary
A structural overview of financial markets and their operating characteristics is provided. Overview includes markets for equities, fixed income, derivatives, and alternative investments. Various asset types, market participants, and types of trades within these markets and ecosystems are described. The calculation, construction, and use of security market indexes are discussed together with market efficiency: how well market prices reflect available information. |
Market Organization and Structure
This reading provides an overview of various types of markets and the actors who participate in them. The overview includes markets for equities, fixed income, derivatives, and alternative investments.
Security Market Indexes
This reading focuses on different types of indexes, how they are constructed, and what they are used for.
Market Efficiency
This reading presents a detailed discussion on whether and/or how effectively market prices reflect the intrinsic value of securities.
Overview of Equity Securities
This reading provides a qualitative analysis of the features that distinguish equity securities from other asset classes and their roles in the capital markets.
Company Analysis: Past and Present
This course prioritizes “Company Analysis: Past and Present,” equipping candidates to articulate elements in a research report, determine a company’s business model, and evaluate revenue factors such as pricing power. It also guides the assessment of operating profitability, working capital efficiency, and insights into financial decision-making regarding capital investments and structure.
Industry and Competitive Analysis
Focused on “Industry and Competitive Analysis,” this course equips candidates to articulate analysis purposes and steps. It covers industry classification methods, sizing, growth, profitability trends, and market share. Analyzing industry structure and external factors is emphasized, employing Porter’s Five Forces and PESTLE. Candidates will also evaluate competitive strategy and company positioning.
Company Analysis: Forecasting
Candidates will learn principles and approaches for forecasting a company’s financials, including revenue, operating expenses, and capital structure. The course also explores the strategic use of scenario analysis in forecasting.
Equity Valuation: Concepts and Basic Tools
Candidates will learn to evaluate securities, categorize equity valuation models, and calculate intrinsic values using discount models and price multiples. Additionally, the course covers understanding dividend structures, including regular and extra dividends, stock dividends, stock splits, reverse stock splits, and share repurchases. The use of enterprise value multiples and asset-based valuation models for estimating equity value is also explored.
For a more comprehensive discussion visit the CFA Level 1 syllabus page.
CFA Equity Investments Level 1 Sample Questions and Answers
The sample questions are typical of the probing multiple-choice questions on the CFA L1 exam. During the exam, you have about 90 seconds to read and answer each question, carefully designed to test knowledge from the CFA Curriculum. UWorld’s question bank is built to expose you to exam-like questions and illustrate and explain the concepts tested thoroughly.
If a country’s security markets are semi-strong form efficient, an investor would most likely be able to generate abnormal returns using:
- only technical analysis.
- only fundamental analysis.
- neither technical nor fundamental analysis.
The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) stipulates that markets are efficient when asset prices fully reflect all relevant information. If a market is efficient, abnormal returns cannot be consistently achieved in that market with information obtained from sources specified by the EMH.
In the semi-strong form of market efficiency, asset prices are assumed to reflect all historical market data plus all publicly available information (eg, financial statements, earnings calls). Historical data and public information are both completely assimilated into prices, so an investor cannot achieve abnormal returns using those resources. An investor could achieve abnormal returns only by using insider information.
Two analytical methods are used to estimate the relative value of investments and develop investment decisions:
- Technical analysis (eg, charting techniques) uses a market’s historical trading and volume data.
- Fundamental analysis (eg, free cash flow valuation) uses publicly available data to derive an asset’s intrinsic value.
Therefore, in a semi-strong form efficient market, neither technical nor fundamental analysis would be able to generate abnormal returns (Choices A and B).
Things to remember:
Under the semi-strong form efficient market hypothesis, all historical market data and publicly available information are reflected in asset prices. To develop investment decisions, technical analysis uses historical market data while fundamental analysis uses publicly available data. Therefore, in a market with semi-strong form efficiency, neither technical nor fundamental analysis would be able to generate abnormal returns.
Expecting a recession, a portfolio manager changes the allocation in a client’s equity portfolio by overweighting consumer staples and utilities while underweighting industrials. The portfolio manager’s action is best described as:
- risk budgeting.
- sector rotation strategy.
- tactical asset allocation.
Sector rotation is a timing strategy used to reallocate a portfolio based on an investor’s perception of the business cycle or other macro variables (eg, oil prices, yield curve shifts). Sector rotation is a common technique used by practitioners in an attempt to outperform their benchmarks and is a common application of industry analysis.
A cyclical industry is highly correlated to the strength of the overall economy, while a noncyclical industry is more insulated from economic fluctuations. By shifting away from cyclical stocks (eg, industrials) and into noncyclical stocks (eg, consumer staples, utilities), the manager is attempting to reduce the negative effects of a recession on the portfolio.
(Choice A) Risk budgeting measures and allocates risks by specific portfolio metrics (eg, beta), often limiting the total risk of the portfolio to a predetermined “budget.” Although the portfolio’s overall risk was likely reduced by the sector shifts, it was done on an ad hoc basis and nothing in the question implied that the portfolio was adhering to or constrained by a risk budget.
(Choice C) Tactical asset allocation refers to tactical shifts among various asset classes (eg, equities, fixed income), not within an asset class.
Things to remember:
Sector rotation is a timing strategy used to reallocate a portfolio based on an investor’s perception of the business cycle or other macro variables. It is a common application of industry analysis.
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What to Expect in CFA Level 2 Equity Valuation?
The CFA Level 2 Equity Valuation (EV) curriculum, formerly known as CFA Equity Investments (EI), is one of the more heavily weighted topics, with 6 learning modules dedicated to EV. This topic is not only fundamental to passing Level 2 but succeeding in the CFA overall. Candidates will dive deeper into the details the concepts and principles presented in the Level 1 curriculum.
Exam Weighting
The CFA Equity Valuation weighs 10-15% of the total exam content so that approximately 8-12 questions or 2-3 item sets of the CFA Level 2 exam focus on this topic.
Topic Weight | No. of Learning Modules | No. of Formulas | No. of Questions |
---|---|---|---|
10-15% | 6 | Around 100 | 8-12 |
Level 2 Equity Valuation Syllabus, Readings, and Changes
The data, examples, and references in all six learning modules in the Equity Valuation topic area have been refreshed, but the readings’ content remains unchanged. For a more comprehensive discussion of LOS visit the official CFAI Level 2 Curriculum Changes page.
No. of Learning Modules: 6 | No. of LOS: 76 | |
---|---|---|
Summary
The course begins with fundamental equity valuation concepts, exploring value definitions and application of models. Key return measures, including equity risk premium and derived required return, are discussed. Models like discounted cash flow (DCF) and the dividend discount model (DDM) are covered, with a focus on alternative methods like the free cash flow model. Relative valuation, using multiples, and residual income valuation are explored. The session concludes with approaches for valuing private company equity. |
Equity Valuation: Applications and Processes
This reading discusses the various definitions of value and the application of equity valuation techniques. A five-step equity valuation process is described with the presented three main categories of equity valuation models (absolute, relative, and total entity).
Discounted Dividend Valuation
This learning module explains the calculation and interpretation of the value of common stock using the dividend discount model (DDM) and the Gordon growth model for single and multiple holding periods. It explains the models’ underlying assumptions, interprets the implied growth rate of dividends, and compares intrinsic value and the market value based on the DDM.
Free Cash Flow Valuation
This learning module compares the free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) and free cash flow to equity (FCFE) approaches to valuation. It describes approaches for forecasting FCFF and FCFE and compares the FCFE model and dividend discount models. This reading also explains the single-stage (stable-growth), two-stage, and three-stage FCFF and FCFE models and justifies the selection of the appropriate model given a company’s characteristics. It then describes how to estimate a company’s value using the appropriate free cash flow model.
Market-Based Valuation: Price and Enterprise Value Multiples
This learning module provides contrast on the valuation methods based on comparables and on forecasted fundamentals as approaches to valuation and explains economic rationales for each approach. The discussion includes rationales for and possible drawbacks to using alternative price multiples and dividend yield in estimates of intrinsic value.
Residual Income Valuation
This learning module describes, calculates, and interprets residual income and its uses in estimating the common stock’s intrinsic value, especially compared to other approaches. It explains the fundamental determinants of residual income and discusses the strengths and weaknesses of residual income models, including accounting issues in residual income model applications.
Private Company Valuation
This learning module describes issues of private business valuation. It explains the cash flow estimation issues and adjustments required to estimate normalized earnings and calculate the value of a private company using different approaches. Also included are discussions of the effects of discounts and premiums based on control and marketability on private company valuations.
CFA Equity Valuation Level 2 Sample Questions and Answers
The sample questions here are typical of the L2 exam’s complexity and depth: formatted as item sets, with a vignette to deliver a scenario that tests the CFA L2 Curriculum. (On the actual exam, each vignette applies to four questions; we’ve thrown in a couple extra to get a bit more learning in). And be sure to review the illustrated explanations we’ve provided for each question: UWorld’s question bank is designed to expose you to exam-like questions and explain the concepts tested thoroughly.
Passage
Bruno Martins is a senior sell-side analyst covering the technology, media, and telecom sectors. He is meeting with Mariana Dias, one of his junior analysts, to discuss valuing companies using their forecasted dividends. All dividends are assumed to be paid annually at the end of the year.
Dias is currently analyzing Terra Manufacturing and Oceano Technologies. Both companies have a stable ROE of 12%, a stable capital structure, no changes to their common stock outstanding, and a constant dividend payout ratio. However:
- Terra’s payout ratio is 60% and
- Oceano’s payout ratio is 45%
It is the beginning of 20X3, and Dias has the following forecast for Oceano’s dividends:
Exhibit 1 Dividend Forecast for Oceano (in BLR) | |
---|---|
Year | Dividend per share |
20X3 | 2.30 |
20X4 | 2.40 |
20X5 | 2.50 |
20X6 | 2.60 |
Martins is valuing Oceano based on a three-year holding period and given a required rate of return of 8%. Dias uses two methods:
Method 1: Using the Gordon growth model to estimate the terminal value, Dias expects Oceano’s dividend to grow at a constant 5% rate starting in 20X6.
Method 2: Using P/E to estimate the terminal value, Dias expects Oceano’s justified forward P/E ratio at the end of 20X5 to be 11x.
Martins is analyzing three other companies and asks Dias to generate dividend expectations for each. Dias provides the following:
Exhibit 2 Dividend Expectations for Three Companies | ||
---|---|---|
Ticker | Industry | Dividend Forecast |
LIFE | Technology | 20X3: Dividend per share = BRL 3.80 20X4 and 20X5: Annual dividend growth rate = 3% 20X6: Make acquisition and suspend dividend 20X8: Pay specialdividend per share = BRL 8.00 20X9: Reinstate normal dividend Dividend growth thereafter = 4% |
FAIR | Telecom | 20X3: Dividend per share = BRL 2.00 20X4 and 20X5: Dividend growth = 12% 20X6 and 20X7: Dividend growth = 7% Dividend growth thereafter = 4% |
VOYG | Media | 20X2: Dividend per share = BRL 1.50 and dividend grew 8% 20X3: Transition to mature growth phase over 8 years Dividend will grow 3% in mature growth phase |
Martins estimates the risk-free rate at 3% and equity risk premium at 5%. He believes a stock would be over- or undervalued if it’s more than 8% from its calculated intrinsic value to allow for uncertainty in the model.
All else equal, which company will have a larger sustainable dividend growth rate?
- Terra
- Oceano
- They will be equal
Companies that pay dividends are assumed to eventually mature and reach a sustainable dividend growth rate. The sustainable rate is one that a company can maintain long-term at a given ROE, assuming no changes to its capital structure and no issuances of equity. The sustainable growth rate allows analysts to calculate a:
- company’s value using the Gordon growth model and
- terminal value when using a multistage dividend discount model.
The sustainable growth rate is a function of a company’s ROE and its earnings retention rate. All else equal, a company’s sustainable growth rate will increase when its:
- ROE increases, since the company will produce more future earnings from its equity.
- earnings retention rate (ie, 1 − payout ratio) increases, since the company will have more retained equity each period to produce future earnings.
In this scenario, each company’s sustainable growth rate is calculated as:
Terra | Oceano |
---|---|
g = (1 – 0.60) * 0.12 = 0.048 | g = (1 – 0.45) * 0.12 = 0.066 |
Oceano has a larger sustainable growth rate of 6.6% (Choices A and C). Note that this question can be completed without calculations. Since both companies have the same ROE, the one with the greater earnings retention rate will have the greater sustainable growth rate.
Things to remember:
Companies that pay dividends are assumed to eventually mature and reach a sustainable dividend growth rate. This assumption allows analysts to calculate a company’s value or terminal value using the Gordon growth model. The sustainable growth rate is a function of a company’s ROE and its earnings retention rate.
Based on Exhibit 1 and using Method 1, the value of Oceano (in BRL) is closest to:
- 69.87
- 72.32
- 74.97
Exhibit 1 Dividend Forecast for Oceano (in BLR) |
|
---|---|
Year | Dividend per share |
20×3 | 2.30 |
20×4 | 2.40 |
20×5 | 2.50 |
20×6 | 2.60 |
Method 1: Using the Gordon growth model to estimate the terminal value, Dias expects Oceano’s dividend to grow at a constant 5% rate starting in 20X6.
Method 2: Using P/E to estimate the terminal value, Dias expects Oceano’s justified forward P/E ratio at the end of 20X5 to be 11x.
Multistage discounted dividend model
V0 = D1⁄(1 + r)1+D2⁄(1 + r)2+ … + Dn⁄(1 + r)n+Pn⁄(1 + r)n
Discounted dividend models discount forecasted dividends to the current period, using the required return as the discount rate. The expected dividends can be forecasted in several ways (eg, growth rates, payout ratios).
Similarly, the terminal value in a discounted dividend model can be calculated in multiple ways (eg, Gordon growth model, P/E value). When an analyst or investor is using a given holding period for a stock, the expected stock price at the end of the holding period can also be used as the terminal value.
If the Gordon growth model is used to calculate the terminal value, as in Method 1 in this scenario, the next year’s dividend should be used to calculate the value in a given period. Since the holding period is three years, the dividend in Year 4, 20X6, is used to calculate the terminal value at the end of the holding period, which is the end of 20X5. Once calculated, the terminal value and the forecasted dividends are discounted back to the current period:
The value of Oceano using the Gordon growth model to estimate the terminal value (ie, Method 1) is BRL 74.97.
(Choice A) 69.87 is calculated by discounting the terminal value by 4 years (ie, 1.084) instead of 3 years.
(Choice B) 72.32 is calculated by using the dividend in 20X5 (ie, Year 3) instead of 20X6 (ie, Year 4) to calculate the terminal value.
Things to remember:
The terminal value in a discounted dividend model can be calculated in multiple ways. When using the Gordon growth
model to calculate the terminal value, the next year’s dividend should be used to calculate the value in a given
period.
Based on Exhibit 1 and using Method 2, the terminal value of the model at the end of 20X5 (in BRL) is closest to:
- 52.00
- 61.11
- 63.56
Exhibit 1 Dividend Forecast for Oceano (in BLR) |
|
---|---|
Year | Dividend per share |
20×3 | 2.30 |
20×4 | 2.40 |
20×5 | 2.50 |
20×6 | 2.60 |
Method 1: Using the Gordon growth model to estimate the terminal value, Dias expects Oceano’s dividend to grow at a constant 5% rate starting in 20X6.
Method 2: Using P/E to estimate the terminal value, Dias expects Oceano’s justified forward P/E ratio at the end of 20X5 to be 11x.
An alternative to using the Gordon growth model to calculate the terminal value is using a justified P/E ratio. The P/E ratio can be trailing (ie, backward-looking) or leading (ie, forward-looking). The earnings used to calculate the terminal value should be consistent with the choice of P/E ratio.
In this question, Dias expects Oceano’s forward P/E ratio at the end of 20X5 to be 11x; thus, the 20X6 dividend should be used to calculate 20X6 earnings. Since Oceano’s payout ratio is 45%, its earnings in 20X6 are forecasted to be 5.78 (≈ 2.60 / 0.45). Therefore, the price in 20X5 that is used as the terminal value is 63.56 (≈ 5.78 × 11).
(Choice A) 52.00 is calculated using the retention ratio instead of the payout ratio to calculate the earnings.
(Choice B) 61.11 is calculated using the 20X5 dividend instead of the 20X6 dividend to calculate the earnings. This value would be used if the P/E ratio were trailing.
Things to remember:
An alternative to using the Gordon growth model to calculate the terminal value is using the P/E ratio. The earnings used to calculate the terminal value should reflect the choice of P/E ratio, whether trailing or leading.
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What to Expect in CFA Level 3 Equity ‘Portfolio Management’?
CFA Level 3 Equity Portfolio Management explains the role equity investments play in portfolios, considering costs and shareholder responsibilities. It then discusses two approaches to equity portfolio management: passive (e.g., index-based) investing and active equity strategies. There is a detailed discussion of quantitative and fundamental equity strategies, including each investment approach’s underlying rationale and portfolio design process.
A total of 4 out of the 35 (11.4%) Level 3 readings are dedicated to Equity. Candidates will dive deeper into the details of the concepts and principles presented at Level 2.
Exam Weighting
The Level 3 CFA Equity Valuation topic weighs 10-15% of the total exam content, so approximately 11 of the 88 CFA Level 3 exam questions focus on this topic. Each item on the 2024 CFA Level 3 exam will have a vignette with essay or multiple-choice questions.
Topic Weight | No. of Readings | No. of Formulas | No. of Questions |
---|---|---|---|
10-15% | 4 | Around 30 | 11 |
Level 3 Equity Investments Syllabus, Readings and Changes
The CFA Level 3 exam includes 4 total readings for 2024, with about 28 learning outcomes that focus on passive equity investing, index replication, and portfolio construction.
No. of Readings | No. of LOS | |
---|---|---|
4 | 28 | |
Summary
This session outlines the role of equity investments in portfolios, covering passive and active strategies. It explores issues in passive equity investing, including index replication approaches and factor-based strategies. The discussion includes tracking error considerations and examines quantitative and fundamental equity strategies. Factor-based investing and specialized strategies like activist investing are explored. The study concludes with insights into active equity portfolio construction, addressing aspects such as active share, risk budgeting, and constraints. |
Overview of Equity Portfolio Management
This reading describes the roles of equities in the overall portfolio. It covers the types of income and costs associated with owning and managing an equity portfolio and their potential effects on portfolio performance and describes rationales for equity investment across the passive-active spectrum.
Passive Equity Investing
This reading covers considerations in choosing a benchmark for passively managed portfolios and issues such as alternative approaches to index replication and factor-based passive strategies. Tracking error, risk, and return considerations from an indexing perspective are also discussed.
Active Equity Investing: Strategies
This reading compares fundamental and quantitative approaches to active management and analyzes bottom-up and top-down active strategies, including their rationales and associated practices. It describes how fundamental active investment and quantitative active investment strategies are created.
Active Equity Investing: Portfolio Construction
This reading discusses elements of a manager’s investment philosophy that influence the portfolio construction process and approaches for constructing actively managed equity portfolios. The uses of risk budgeting and risk measures incorporated in equity portfolio construction are presented. Discuss issues important in active equity portfolio construction, including active share, active risk, risk budgeting, and constraints on portfolio construction.
CFA Equity Valuation Study Tips
- Much of the Level 3 material assumes the depths and breadths of the Levels 1 and 2 curricula, so a solid review may be in order, especially if you've taken some time off between exams.
- Plan to cover this material thoroughly based on its complexity and weight on the exam. The Level 3 exam is all about portfolio management, and equity is a serious component of any portfolio–and the exam.
- When CFA candidates have work experience in finance and/or investing, most often, it's in equity. But even if you've been in the business, don't skip this topic since it has a relatively high exam weight. Although Level 3 Equity focuses more on strategic uses of its asset class, you'll still have to do the math, so be prepared.
Visit our CFA Level 1 study guide and CFA Level 2 Study Schedule for more information.